Greek economy to grow 2.8 percent in 2020

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ATHENS: Greece expects its economy to grow by 2.8 percent in 2020 whilst respecting fiscal pledges to the country’s creditors, a draft budget released yesterday said.

The draft also forecasts an unemployment fall to 15.6 percent from 17.4 percent this year, the finance ministry said.

EU-IM creditors want Greece to pursue economic and fiscal reforms and privatisations and achieve primary budget surpluses — which exclude government debt interest payments — worth 3.5 percent of GDP in the coming years.

Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis wants to renegotiate this target with the creditors — but has agreed to retain it in 2020 to the tune of 3.56 percent, the ministry said.

As Greece recovers from a six-year recession and a nearly decade-long debt crisis, the economy remains fragile.

Emerging from its third straight bailout last year, it has a public debt of more than 180 percent of gross domestic product, and remains under strict supervision by its creditors.

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Outgoing IMF chief Christine Lagarde last month called the 3.5 percent level “excessive” and an obstacle to Greek economic recovery.

Elected in July on a platform of boosting economic growth and investment, Mitsotakis’ new conservative government has made boosting slugging growth a priority, powered by tax cuts and accompanied by privatisation deals.

The administration also seeks to capitalise on decade-low borrowing rates on Greek debt. Within days of taking office, it sold a 7-year-bond at a record low yield of 1.9 percent. – Reuters

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