Europe’s long, winding road to self-driving future

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PAul Newman, co-founder of Oxbotica, stands next to an early iteration of an autonomously driven vehicle, at their company headquarters in Oxford. Photo: Reuters

OXFORD (England): Far from the sunny, wide streets of Phoenix, where Waymo’s self-driving taxis ply their trade, a handful of European start-ups are developing driverless cars to navigate the clogged, chaotic, rain-swept roads of European cities. Start-ups such as Oxbotica, FiveAI and Wayve that are testing cars in Britain say the old continent is a unique proposition with quirks and challenges that tech giant Alphabet’s Waymo, Uber, Aurora and others have yet to crack.

Operating on a shoestring relative to their US rivals, the European start-ups say they have been forced to get creative and focus on cheaper, more tailored technologies that could cope in a heavy downpour on a busy London street. “A car trained to drive on the wide open highways of Arizona isn’t going to survive on the streets of Croydon. It’s a totally different environment,” said Alex van Someren, venture capital investor at Amadeus Capital, which has a stake in FiveAI.

The start-ups hope that by developing systems and software that work in the most trying circumstances, they will be in prime position when deeppocketed US firms expand into new regions to capitalise on a future of self-driving cars. According to the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), the era of connected high-tech vehicles is expected to generate about $150 billion of new profits for the auto sector by 2035, making the race to nail the technology a potentially lucrative one.

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Some investors estimate a fifth of global new car sales will be selfdriving vehicles by 2030. While only a handful of startups are likely to survive, investors have poured $70 billion of private investment since 2014 into more than 3,400 firms globally involved in “new mobility”, ranging from autonomous driving to ride hailing to electric scooters to machine learning, according to BCG. In the English university city of Oxford, Paul Newman founded robotics and self-driving company Oxbotica to develop ‘universal autonomy’ software that could be sold to any carmaker, fleet operator, delivery firm or transport company.

The company has been testing its software in a Ford Mondeo crowned with assorted cameras and sensors on the busy streets of the city, driving the same loop, down the high street and past the Red Lion pub, five times a day for three months. Repeating different circuits over and over again with its fleet of cars gives the company a baseline to measure its progress, and in tricky areas it allows the software to come up with new data relevant to a specific place, Newman said.

PAul Newman, co-founder of Oxbotica, stands next to an early iteration of an autonomously driven vehicle, at their company headquarters in Oxford. Photo: Reuters

“The negotiations one has to do with bicyclists and undergraduates in the early hours — around streets that frankly were designed for ponies — in these European cities is a little bit different,” he said. The firm now plans to open offices in North America and China, and aims to launch a selfdriving taxi service in 2021 in London on specific routes — with a safety driver present — as part of a consortium working with cab company Addison Lee. Oxbotica’s public road trials are labour-intensive and costly, and demonstrate the extent of the challenge facing companies aspiring to take on Waymo and Uber on a shoestring. Like Wayve and FiveAI, Oxbotica is making do with a fraction of the funding doled out in the United States to futuristic transport companies.

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It has received funding of 22.6 million pounds ($28 million), while FiveAI has raised $37.7 million, according to the latest figures from Crunchbase. By way of comparison, General Motors’ self-driving division Cruise raised $1.15 billion in May in new equity, valuing the unit at $19 billion, while California-based driverless delivery start-up Nuro raised $940 million in February. The amount of venture capital funding going into autonomous car and tech companies in Europe doubled in 2018, but was still a tiny fraction of the amount pumped into US start-ups.

The European firms pulled in $89 million last year, just 2 percent of the venture capital funding collected by US companies, according to data from CB Insights. US start-ups may benefit from generous funding but Europeans argue the yawning gap in financing — coupled with the particular regional needs — has pushed them to find cheaper ways to plug the technological gaps. Lidar, for example, the laser pulse technology used widely in US autonomous cars, struggles to paint an accurate picture of a vehicle’s surroundings once rain, fog or snow set in — so developers in Europe are testing a range of other tools.

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A passenger vehicle is seen travelling autonomously using Oxbotica software during a trial on public roads in Oxford. Photo: Reuters

“The challenges we have to solve here are subtly different and that calls for a different set of sensors … and more emphasis on image and video processing, use of visual techniques for localisation,” said Stan Boland, founder and CEO of FiveAI. “The deterioration of lidar in the rain is pretty horrendous,” said Boland. FiveAI started road tests in the London boroughs of Bromley and Croydon this year and hopes to launch passenger trials in 2020. Its long-term objective is to operate an autonomous vehicle fleet to complement public transport.

While Oxbotica’s Newman and Boland argue that lidar has a role to play — alongside other sensors and cameras — Wayve, an autonomous driving company based in the university city of Cambridge, insists the laser technology is unnecessary. Wayve co-founder Amar Shah said recent improvements meant you could now get reliable relative depth estimates using cameras alone, and that would be far cheaper and more reliable when it comes to mass producing selfdriving cars. – Reuters

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